The Brisket Index
Version 2 tracks published retail brisket and 20-lb smoker-pellet prices every Monday UTC, and releases on the four most recent accepted observations. No smoothing, backfill, carry-forward, or interpolated gaps: a week that fails is a week that is missing.
Version 1 status — ABORTED
The scheduled August 24 observation failed and was rejected. Version 1 ended with its single accepted August 17 observation; it will not be retried, backfilled, carried forward, or repaired with a substitute retailer. No version 1 release was created.
Machine record: run 32723239257, attempt 1, conclusion failure.
Version 2 — independent weekly series
Observations run every Monday UTC, and a release becomes possible once four accepted snapshots exist. The September 7 observation was rejected when one source’s robots.txt returned a server error, and it is not backfilled; the window simply moves on to the next clean weeks. P7 (Mountain Hardware and Sports) begins as a distinct retailer series; it does not continue historical P5.
- Brisket, $/lb (headline sources)
- USD 10.99 /lb — The Meat House Market — Whole Packer Brisket, USDA Top Choice (USDA Top Choice)
- USD 9.99 /lb — Barth's Market — Brisket, Whole Packer, Prime (USDA Prime)
- USD 10.49 /lb — Clark's Custom Meat — Brisket Whole (ungraded)
- Pellets, $/20-lb bag
- USD 19.99 /20-lb bag — Bear Mountain — Hickory BBQ Wood Pellets
- USD 12.99 /20-lb bag — Pit Boss — Competition Blend Hardwood Pellets, 20 lb
- USD 19.99 /20-lb bag — Mountain Hardware and Sports — Traeger Signature Blend, 20 lb (PEL331)
- USD 19.95 /20-lb bag — Grange Co-op — Traeger Signature Blend, 20 lb (PEL331)
- Accepted v2 observations3 accepted weekly observations (latest: 2026-09-21)
How it works
A fixed basket of published retail prices, re-checked weekly from the same sources on Mondays UTC. The headline $/lb figure is taken from sources that publish an explicit per-pound price in static HTML. Pellet headlines require an explicitly labeled 20-lb bag; band-priced brisket sources are tracked as matched-variant totals and never divided by a midpoint. P7 is a new retailer series for v2 and is never spliced onto P5's v1 history.
Coverage: Published online specialty-retail prices plus separately labeled USDA retail and wholesale context; not a grocery average.
Gaps: Missing values remain missing. No retry, backfill, carry-forward, interpolation, substitution, or pack-size conversion.
Fixed-basket coverage: 12 of 12 ruled sources passed for .
Fixed-basket source coverage — 2026-09-21
Every ruled source is listed here. USDA sources provide context only and do not enter the retail headline.
- B2 · Porter Road — Whole Brisket — brisket: retail brisket basket · status: ok · coverage: present (1 captured value) · checked · report
- B3 · Meat N' Bone — Whole Brisket (Packer Style) USDA Prime — brisket: retail brisket basket · status: ok · coverage: present (6 captured values) · checked · report
- B4 · The Meat House Market — Whole Packer Brisket, USDA Top Choice — brisket: retail brisket basket · status: ok · coverage: present (1 captured value) · checked · report
- B6 · Barth's Market — Brisket, Whole Packer, Prime — brisket: retail brisket basket · status: ok · coverage: present (1 captured value) · checked · report
- B7 · Clark's Custom Meat — Brisket Whole — brisket: retail brisket basket · status: ok · coverage: present (2 captured values) · checked · report
- B8 · 44 Farms — USDA Prime Brisket — brisket: retail brisket basket · status: ok · coverage: present (2 captured values) · checked · report
- P1 · Bear Mountain — Hickory BBQ Wood Pellets — pellets: 20-lb pellet-bag basket · status: ok · coverage: present (2 captured values) · checked · report
- P4 · Pit Boss — Competition Blend Hardwood Pellets, 20 lb — pellets: 20-lb pellet-bag basket · status: ok · coverage: present (1 captured value) · checked · report
- P7 · Mountain Hardware and Sports — Traeger Signature Blend, 20 lb (PEL331) — pellets: 20-lb pellet-bag basket · status: ok · coverage: present (1 captured value) · checked · report
- P6 · Grange Co-op — Traeger Signature Blend, 20 lb (PEL331) — pellets: 20-lb pellet-bag basket · status: ok · coverage: present (1 captured value) · checked · report
- U1 · USDA AMS — National Retail Report, Beef (AMS_3228) — usda-retail: USDA advertised-retail baseline · status: ok · coverage: present (10 captured values) · checked · report
- U2 · USDA AMS — National Weekly Boxed Beef Cuts, Formulated Sales (ams_2458) — usda-wholesale: USDA wholesale baseline · status: ok · coverage: present (3 captured values) · checked · report
What it does not measure
USDA wholesale and advertised-retail baselines are retained for context but excluded from the retail headline. Restaurant plate pricing and regional grocery promotions are out of scope. Costco, Walmart, H-E-B, Home Depot, Lowe's, Tractor Supply, and Ace blocked the collector or returned empty shells, so this specialty-retail basket is not a national grocery average.
Accepted-week basket observations — 2026-09-21
- Porter Road — Whole Brisket (ungraded (dry-aged pasture-raised)) — USD 174.00 /item · checked · report
- Meat N' Bone — Whole Brisket (Packer Style) USDA Prime (USDA Prime) — USD 105.99 /item · checked · report
- Meat N' Bone — Whole Brisket (Packer Style) USDA Prime (USDA Prime) — USD 135.99 /item · checked · report
- Meat N' Bone — Whole Brisket (Packer Style) USDA Prime (USDA Prime) — USD 160.99 /item · checked · report
- Meat N' Bone — Whole Brisket (Packer Style) USDA Prime (USDA Prime) — USD 189.99 /item · checked · report
- Meat N' Bone — Whole Brisket (Packer Style) USDA Prime (USDA Prime) — USD 245.99 /item · checked · report
- Meat N' Bone — Whole Brisket (Packer Style) USDA Prime (USDA Prime) — USD 249.99 /item · checked · report
- The Meat House Market — Whole Packer Brisket, USDA Top Choice (USDA Top Choice) — USD 10.99 /lb · checked · report
- Barth's Market — Brisket, Whole Packer, Prime (USDA Prime) — USD 9.99 /lb · checked · report
- Clark's Custom Meat — Brisket Whole (ungraded) — USD 10.49 /lb · checked · report
- Clark's Custom Meat — Brisket Whole (ungraded) — USD 157.35 /item · checked · report
- 44 Farms — USDA Prime Brisket (USDA Prime) — USD 145.95 /item · checked · report
- 44 Farms — USDA Prime Brisket (USDA Prime) — USD 169.95 /item · checked · report
- Bear Mountain — Hickory BBQ Wood Pellets — USD 19.99 /20-lb bag · checked · report
- Pit Boss — Competition Blend Hardwood Pellets, 20 lb — USD 12.99 /20-lb bag · checked · report
- Mountain Hardware and Sports — Traeger Signature Blend, 20 lb (PEL331) — USD 19.99 /20-lb bag · checked · report
- Grange Co-op — Traeger Signature Blend, 20 lb (PEL331) — USD 19.95 /20-lb bag · checked · report